The Impact of San Diego's Housing Shortage on Real Estate Prices

May 9

THE CURRENT STATE OF THE SAN DIEGO HOUSING MARKET

The shortage in the San Diego housing market has been a significant issue for several years, impacting the city's real estate market. As demand for housing in the area continues to rise, the supply of available homes has struggled to keep up, leading to skyrocketing real estate prices.

Let’s take a look at the landscape of the San Diego real estate market, explore the impact of San Diego's housing shortage on real estate prices, and explain what this means for buyers, sellers, and investors.

What’s Causing the Shortage in the San Diego Housing Market?

The housing shortage is primarily due to the city's rapidly growing population and limited availability of land for development. The region's job market and quality of life make it an attractive place for people to live and work, leading to a significant influx of new residents. However, the lack of new construction, strict zoning laws, and other regulatory issues make it difficult for developers to keep up with the growing demand.

Another factor that is contributing to San Diego's housing shortage is the low rate of foreclosures. According to recent data from RealtyTrac, foreclosure filings in San Diego County have hit an all-time low in recent years. This means that the additional supply of homes that would normally enter the market through foreclosures is likely to remain low. As a result, the housing shortage is likely to continue until new construction and other initiatives can catch up with the demand.

Another reason why the supply of homes for sale in San Diego remains low is that many homeowners who purchased homes several years ago don't want to sell. This is because they bought their homes at much lower prices and much lower interest rates than what is available in the current market. These homeowners are holding onto their properties, which contributes to the shortage of available homes.

As a result of these factors, potential homebuyers in San Diego are facing a highly competitive market, with bidding wars and offers above asking price becoming increasingly common. In order to be successful in this market, buyers may need to consider expanding their search area or being flexible with their home buying criteria. It's also important for buyers to work with a knowledgeable and experienced real estate agent who can guide them through the process and help them make competitive offers that stand out to sellers.

How It’s Impacting Homebuyers

Low supply and high demand drive home prices up, making it challenging for first-time homebuyers and lower-income families to enter the market. According to the North San Diego County Association of Realtors, the median home value in San Diego County was $835,000, as of April 2023, indicating a continued upward trend in prices. The city's rental market is also experiencing a similar trend with rent increasing due to limited inventory.

Buyers are facing fierce competition for available homes, often resulting in bidding wars and inflated prices. This can make it challenging for first-time homebuyers or those with lower incomes to enter the market, as they may be priced out of the available options.

Even those with the means to purchase a home may find themselves struggling to find the right property. With a limited selection, buyers may need to compromise on their must-have features or make other concessions to secure a home, like waiving the appraisal contingency, waiving the home inspection, or adding an escalation clause This can be frustrating and stressful, especially for those who have been searching for months or even years.

How It’s Impacting Sellers

While the housing shortage has been challenging for buyers, it has been a boon for sellers. With limited inventory, sellers have been able to command higher prices and receive multiple offers for their homes. This has created a seller's market in which sellers have more negotiating power and can often sell their homes quickly and for top dollar.

However, even in a seller's market, sellers must be strategic in their approach. They still need to ensure their homes are priced appropriately, marketed effectively, and are in good condition to attract buyers. Working with an experienced real estate agent can be especially helpful in navigating the current market conditions and maximizing the value of a home.

How It’s Impacting Investors

The shortage in the San Diego housing market has also had an impact on real estate investors in the area. While it can be challenging to find available properties to purchase, those who do manage to secure them may see significant returns on their investments. With high demand for rental properties, investors can charge top dollar for rent and potentially realize long-term appreciation in value.

However, investors must also be strategic in their approach. With high real estate prices, it may be challenging to find properties that offer a good return on investment. Investors must conduct thorough research and analysis to ensure they are making informed decisions and minimizing risk.

Where do we go from here?

The shortage in the San Diego housing market has had a significant impact on the city's real estate market, driving up prices and creating a challenging environment for buyers. However, it has also created opportunities for sellers and investors to realize significant returns on their investments.

As the city continues to grow and develop, it will be important for policymakers, developers, and other stakeholders to work together to address the housing shortage and ensure that San Diego remains an attractive and accessible place to live.

San Diego's housing shortage is a complex issue that is influenced by a variety of factors, including low interest rates, a lack of new construction, homeowners holding onto their properties, and a low rate of foreclosures. With the median home value in San Diego County reaching $835,000 as of April 2023, it's clear that the shortage of available homes for sale is having a significant impact on real estate prices in the area.

However, by working with experienced real estate professionals and staying informed about the latest trends and developments in the market, buyers and sellers alike can navigate this challenging market and achieve their real estate goals.

Brent Edwards (aka Brent the Broker) is a residential real estate agent and Realtor in San Diego, CA who helps clients buy and sell homes in San Diego, California and all surrounding areas. Brent is a highly-recommended Realtor in San Diego by family, friends and past clients. Call Brent today at 619-550-8070 if you have any questions about real estate in San Diego or you'd like to buy or sell a home.